Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004023 0.004413 0.004832 0.005317 0.005863 0.006462 0.007171
2025-08-24 0.003348 0.003884 0.004501 0.005270 0.006210 0.007330 0.008782
2025-08-31 0.002904 0.003489 0.004194 0.005116 0.006305 0.007807 0.009882
2025-09-07 0.002640 0.003264 0.004042 0.005101 0.006530 0.008427 0.011199
2025-09-14 0.002501 0.003171 0.004034 0.005254 0.006968 0.009353 0.013034
2025-09-21 0.002298 0.002971 0.003863 0.005158 0.007042 0.009766 0.014165
2025-09-28 0.002127 0.002798 0.003706 0.005062 0.007095 0.010138 0.015266
2025-10-05 0.002007 0.002685 0.003623 0.005056 0.007271 0.010705 0.016743
2025-10-12 0.001932 0.002627 0.003609 0.005149 0.007601 0.011539 0.018780
2025-10-19 0.001822 0.002510 0.003500 0.005084 0.007671 0.011953 0.020129
2025-10-26 0.001736 0.002422 0.003426 0.005067 0.007812 0.012495 0.021788
2025-11-02 0.001643 0.002318 0.003321 0.004989 0.007841 0.012840 0.023112
2025-11-09 0.001579 0.002256 0.003280 0.005019 0.008072 0.013596 0.025438
2025-11-16 0.001501 0.002169 0.003196 0.004972 0.008162 0.014108 0.027363
2025-11-23 0.001409 0.002057 0.003062 0.004829 0.008065 0.014244 0.028487
2025-11-30 0.001353 0.001994 0.003006 0.004815 0.008203 0.014860 0.030816
2025-12-07 0.001331 0.001986 0.003038 0.004957 0.008649 0.016157 0.035045
2025-12-14 0.001267 0.001907 0.002946 0.004868 0.008635 0.016482 0.036909
2025-12-21 0.001208 0.001833 0.002857 0.004778 0.008611 0.016780 0.038767
2025-12-28 0.001168 0.001787 0.002815 0.004773 0.008757 0.017477 0.041869
2026-01-04 0.001145 0.001770 0.002822 0.004859 0.009102 0.018677 0.046708
2026-01-11 0.001101 0.001714 0.002755 0.004799 0.009127 0.019121 0.049404
2026-01-18 0.001066 0.001672 0.002713 0.004783 0.009247 0.019812 0.053052